Hi Tessa, Hey, thanks for replying. Wouldn't you agree it is too early to tell who is capable of winning this election? When I look at the spectrum of informed pundits (here on Medium!) if find some who think Harris is hopeless, and others who think Trump cat possibly win no matter who the Dems run.

So to me, the winner is uncertain. I think it will come down to which side organises and gets out the vote (add in election dirty tricks on the Republican side to disenfranchise as many voters as possible).

Anything more definite is more of a measure of the prognosticators implicit and unconscious biases (mine: optimism bias, confirmation bias, perception bias--just the tip of the iceberg). For this reason, I like to read folks I consider smart whom i disagree with. So, I'm looking for facts and reasons behind the opinions. I look forward to reading more from you!

Cheers,

Tim